Stop Squeezing the Poor Every Time the Budget Breaks

(Sumaira Tabassum, Lahore)

Pakistan’s Real Solution Is Not Price Hikes — It Is a Shift From Pressure-Based Economics to Production-Based Growth
Introduction: A Cycle That Keeps Repeating

Pakistan’s economy has developed a pattern that feels familiar across all households. Whenever financial pressure increases, the immediate response is often to raise fuel prices, increase electricity tariffs, or pass rising costs directly onto citizens. For ordinary people, this creates a sense of continuous pressure. Salaries remain the same, but transport, food, and utility bills keep increasing. While these steps may temporarily help balance government finances, they do not address the deeper structural weaknesses that repeatedly bring the country back to the same crisis. The real issue is not only a shortage of money but a lack of strong economic foundations. A sustainable economy cannot rely on repeatedly shifting its burden onto consumers; it must grow through productivity, efficiency, and long-term income creation.

Reactive Thinking vs a Productive Economy

At the core of Pakistan’s economic challenge is a reactive approach to financial management. When deficits appear, prices are increased. When debt rises, subsidies are reduced. When revenue falls short, the public is asked to absorb the difference through higher costs. This may provide short-term relief, but it creates long-term damage. It reduces purchasing power, weakens business activity, increases inflation, and slows overall growth. A productive economy works differently. Instead of relying on price adjustments, it focuses on expanding production, improving exports, attracting investment, and reducing internal inefficiencies so that revenue grows naturally through economic activity rather than pressure on citizens.

State-Owned Enterprises: A Silent Drain on the System

A major structural issue lies in state-owned enterprises that continue to operate at a loss. Many of these institutions suffer from inefficiency, political interference, and weak accountability. As a result, they require repeated financial support from the government, which eventually increases pressure on the overall budget. Instead of repeatedly covering these losses, long-term reform is necessary. This includes professional management, merit-based leadership, transparent auditing, and in some cases, partial or full privatization. When these institutions become efficient, they stop draining public resources and reduce the need for emergency financial measures.

Energy Sector and the Problem of Circular Debt

The energy sector is one of the biggest sources of financial stress due to circular debt. This is not only a pricing issue but a deep structural problem. Electricity theft, transmission losses, weak billing systems, and delayed payments across the supply chain all contribute to continuous financial leakage. Increasing tariffs does not solve this problem; it only shifts the burden onto consumers. The real solution lies in fixing the system itself through smart metering, upgraded infrastructure, digital monitoring, stronger enforcement against theft, and improved recovery systems. Once losses are controlled, the pressure to repeatedly increase prices naturally decreases.

Exports: The Foundation of Real Economic Strength

No country can achieve long-term stability by relying only on domestic consumption. Pakistan’s export base remains narrow and concentrated in limited sectors. To achieve stability, the country must move toward value-added production, expand IT and digital services, strengthen agricultural processing, and develop manufacturing capacity. Export-led growth brings foreign currency into the country, stabilizes the rupee, and reduces dependence on internal price adjustments. Economies that escape repeated crises do so by producing for global markets, not by continuously increasing domestic prices.

Foreign Investment: From Borrowing to Building

Foreign direct investment is another key pillar of long-term stability. Unlike loans, which increase repayment pressure, investment builds productive capacity and creates jobs. However, investment only flows when there is trust in the system. This requires consistent policies, transparent contracts, strong legal protection, and reduced bureaucratic delays. When investment increases, the economy grows from within, reducing the need for repeated emergency financial measures.

Idle State Assets: Turning Dead Capital into Active Growth

Pakistan holds large amounts of government-owned land and property that remain unused. These idle assets represent significant untapped potential. If properly utilized through public-private partnerships, leasing models, and commercial development, they can generate continuous economic activity. Instead of remaining inactive, these assets can be turned into industrial zones, housing projects, and commercial hubs that contribute to long-term revenue generation without increasing pressure on citizens.

Tourism: A Hidden Source of Foreign Currency

Pakistan has immense natural beauty and cultural diversity, but tourism remains underdeveloped. With proper infrastructure, improved safety, better hospitality services, and international promotion, tourism can become a strong source of foreign exchange. Unlike internal price adjustments, tourism brings fresh money into the country from outside, directly strengthening the economy and supporting local communities.

Mining and Natural Resources: Long-Term Wealth Potential

The country also holds significant mineral reserves including copper, gold, coal, and rare earth elements. However, due to lack of modern extraction systems and transparent partnerships, this sector remains underutilized. With structured investment, international collaboration, and proper regulatory frameworks, mining can become a long-term source of national revenue for decades instead of remaining an untapped opportunity.

Digital Economy: The Fastest Growing Opportunity

The global economy is rapidly shifting toward digital services, and Pakistan already has a growing freelance and IT workforce. Expanding this sector through software exports, digital outsourcing, and tech startups can bring significant foreign income. The digital economy is especially powerful because it does not require heavy infrastructure and can grow quickly through skills, connectivity, and education.

Government Efficiency: Fixing Internal Waste First

Before increasing pressure on citizens, internal inefficiencies must be addressed. Excess administrative spending, redundant departments, unnecessary privileges, and weak institutional systems all contribute to financial waste. By streamlining operations, digitizing services, and implementing performance-based accountability, the government can save substantial resources without burdening the public.

From Consumption-Based to Production-Based Thinking

The most important transformation required is a shift from a consumption-based economy to a production-based one. Consumption-based systems rely on extracting more from existing resources, while production-based systems create new value through industry, exports, investment, and innovation. This shift is not just an economic change—it is a mindset change that defines long-term stability.

Conclusion: Building Strength Instead of Shifting Burden

Repeated increases in fuel and electricity prices may seem like a quick solution, but they are not sustainable. They weaken purchasing power, slow economic activity, and increase inflationary pressure. Real stability comes from fixing structural inefficiencies, expanding productive capacity, and building an economy that generates income rather than extracting it from already burdened citizens. Pakistan does not lack potential; it lacks consistent long-term economic planning. The future depends not on repeated price hikes, but on building a system strong enough that such measures are no longer necessary.

 

Sumaira Tabassum
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