By NaziaParveen Rawalpindi
The Region South Asia is conflict prone and volatile in nature. The two main
nuclear states i.e. India and Pakistan have history of conflicts with each other
.Number of Confidence building measure-CBMs were signed by both states, but
relations remained shaky throughout the history, as soon as relation became
smooth or somewhat normal, a single incident ruinseverything. Since 1947 till
date,Kashmir Water,Siachin and Sircreek have been the bone of contention between
both states.This has undermined all the peace efforts. Musharaff have to put in
his own efforts to initiate proper CBMs in 2004,hoping that relations between
both will improve now but all went in vein after Mumbai attacks. There are
several aspects which can be analyzed in the wake 0fIndia’s recent violation
vis-à-vis LoC
India is accustomed to violate ceasefire at LoC and violating international
border just to provoke Pakistan for retaliation, now if Pakistan will retaliates
there are chances that on other side of border Kashmiri Muslims would be killed
which will again create an impression in minds of Kashmiri’s that Pakistan is
killing them and is promoting terrorism this will benefit India while Pakistan
will be at losing end in both conditions. India has propagated on Kashmir issue
in such a way on international level that whenever Pakistan discuss Kashmir
issue it seems that it is not supporting freedom movement rather terrorism mixed
it up with terrorism that now it’s a common perception build on international
level wherever the name of Kashmir is taken its not perceived as their freedom
movement rather it’s perceived as terrorism and Pakistan is being blamed for it.
To destabilize Pakistan India never miss any chance, whenever some important
development occurs in Pakistan India escalates tension on borders. We have an
example of 1971.Again India is supporting terrorist groups in Baluchistan and
all the extremists who are running those separatist movementstake refuge in
India and they give statements against Pakistan.Pakistanon the other hand is
fighting the largest counter terrorism war, the Op Zarb-e-Azb is under way which
has seen a plight of IDPs to look after, last the country is passing through
political turmoil. In this situation Pakistan Army is already quite stretched so
India started creating tension at borders which will again put burdon on Army
and its attention will be diverted from operation and internal issues. If
Political leadership takes decision to deploy Army on eastern border it will
create more problems in settled issue and it might give chance to terrorists to
re-group and get united, which in return will give a massive blow to Operation
Zarb-e-Azb.
AfterUS withdrawal from Afghanistan India wants to keep her position by
replacing her forcesnear Pak border. She has already established number of
training camps and consulates in Afghanistan near Pakistan border which should
be a cause of serious concern forPakistan. After US withdrawal India might be
able to create tension on both Eastern and Western borders.There are 18 Indian
consulates in Afghanistan. India is using them for creating instability
inBaluchistan.India is very much disappointed to see Abdul Ghani as the
President of Afghanistan.There is a great difference between Hamid Karzai and
Abdul Ghani.Chuck Hagel’s testimony before senate is worth reading. He said,
that“we must stop India for meddling in Pakistan’s affairs from western borders
for durable peace in South Asia.”
Moodi won election over his stance against Pakistan and by labeling Muslims as
terrorists. Moodi is perusing RSS agenda in current tension at LoC.
ThereforeIndian’s foreign policy is totally against Pakistan. They raised
anti-Pakistan slogans during their election campaign. RSS and other militant
groups are pressurizing Indian Govt to corner Pakistan.
Certain possible solutions can be adapted by both states to dilute the tense
situation. As both the states are nuclear powers and if tension escalated it
will bring catastrophic results. Another round of CBMs should be promoted to
create enabling environment for both the states to negotiate on their
conflicting issue starting from Kashmir issue which is bone of contention
between both states.
What India needs to comprehend is that Pak Army will not Compromise on State
sovereignty, and continuous exchange of fire between both nuclear states on
eastern borders can lead towards serious situation. International powers should
play affective role as mediators by placing independent observers on eastern
border and whosoever violates the ceasefire should be addressed with economic
penalties. However, Pakistan’s Policies towards India are still not clear as our
political leadership is not taking clear stance against Indian blatant
aggression.
We should diplomatically deal with India,even use of force and diplomacy can be
used simultaneously but it requires proper tactics. When our leaders visited
India and gifted them clothes (Shawls or Sarhi’s) at that time Indians
wereengaged in opening ceremoniesof a proper Alpine Core which they established
to counter Pakistan and china because India Shares only one border on mountains
with China and Pakistan, so this is the way they are taking care of their
national interest while we haveprefer our personal interest over the national
interest.
We should have discussed vision 20/25 with India rather than discussing other
issues which would have given benefit to us. When they cancelled secretary level
talks with us we should have called Abdul Basit back to Pakistan as its normal
that our leaders meet Hurriyat leaders since decades, so what was strange if he
met Kashmir’s there, this is called real diplomacy and the way of dealing things
in diplomatic and tactical way.
Both the states are nuclear powers and this is for sure that both cannot afford
any conflict because it will lead to mutual assured “MAD”destruction and further
more to regional and international instability. This is the time to take issues
seriously and to resolve them diplomatically which can benefit both of them but
the need of hour is first they should resolve their differences and on win-win
grounds they should sort out the solution of issues.