Apeal To Political Leaders To Save Pakistan From Complex Disaster

(Muhammad Qaddafi, Abbottabad)

Pakistan Political leadership due to lack of knowledge and information wiping Pakistan from world Map As a disaster manger I think that Pakistan is a most vulnerable country now a days, country is passing through most difficult time of its history,2010 flood badly effect its socio economic structure but due early response of government of Pakistan and international community some how minimize the effects of floods,2010 flood in Pakistan is not simple disaster like 2005 earth quake , technically we can not call it disaster because the losses and spread out of flood is above than disaster , Government of Pakistan NDMA due to lack of knowledge declare and call it disaster which is totally wrong perception, there is a dire need to understand the status and nature of 2010 flood.

2010 flood is unique in its history and first in nature, as a disaster management student the category of 2010 flood is slow onset disaster, its type is natural disaster, its kind is Riverine flood and its classification is complete disaster.2010 floods is called complete disaster because of its spread out and losses, COMPLETE DISASTER When any disaster caused multidimensional damages at large scale and losses are irreparable and not calculate able for long period of time, this situation is called complete disaster.

In Complete disaster Relief and rehabilitation can not normalize the life of victim, e.g. (combination of Losses to a survivor, life, property, livelihood, culture, economics, health and habitat, 2010 Floods Pakistan).
 
We can not manage any disaster before understanding its nature, so I request government of Pakistan to understand the above stated condition of this disaster and take appropriate measures for its mitigation, Disaster management is a collective responsibility of international community and affected country, because poor or mismanagement of disaster affect the whole world ,secondly in some disaster cause or factor behind disaster is common like global warming which is one of major factor behind 2010 floods in Pakistan, Global warming is international issue and developed countries contribute major share in global warming so these developed states are more responsible and pay more for disaster management to Pakistan.

Pakistan faced many disasters since its creation, 2005 earth quake was major disaster but we not only manage it but change it to window of opportunity for survivors, we shift affected community from poor kacha houses to earth quake resistance Paka houses on large scale and redevelop infrastructure far better then pre disaster situation.

2010complete disaster is manageable through disaster management cycle and we can turn it into window of opportunity through planning and management, 2010 flood can not destabilize the country like Pakistan, because any disaster which can be managed through disaster management cycle can not destabilize country or government, disaster provide more resources and opportunity of development which benefit government and rebuild better infrastructure for future development of country.

Country integrity and sovereignty is only threatened in disaster, only due to complex disaster, which can collapse both government and country. I can foresee as disaster manager that Pakistan is leading toward complex disaster ,which is only instrument to destroyed or wipe a country from world map, in present situation Pakistan can be saved only by avoiding complex disaster other wise Pakistan will be the history in books in near future.

Complex Disasters- Complex disasters exist where adverse political conditions compound a disaster or emergency situation. Such situations are complicated because the breakdown of the political structure makes assistance or intervention difficult. This sort of emergency is usually associated with the problems of displaced people during times of civil conflict or with people in need caught in areas of conflict.

Government is first to respond any disaster, but disaster de capacitate the government machinery and generate multidimensional challenges as we witness in 2005 and 2010 government of Pakistan fail to function its role in early recovery ,but if we put bird eye view on our political system and capacity of our national institution we can not criticized present government alone, Past governments are more guilty, I as disaster manager personally think that present government play a very positive role with poor national disaster systems, President and prime minster try their level best to escape the country from complete disaster.

Pakistan is developing country and confronting many internal and external threats like terrorism, law and order, and sectarianism which slow its development and weakened government institutions resulted bad governance .but these challenges can not threaten Pakistan integrity and federation.

Political leadership due to lack of knowledge and selfishness caused direct damage to the sovereignty and integrity of Pakistan ,Mien Muhammad Nawaz Sharif and Iltaf Hussain are popular leaders and they are leading Pakistan toward a complex disaster, I believe that both leader are patriotic as we are but due to lack of technical knowledge about disaster and for political gain they try to dissolve the present government of Pakistan, which directly leading toward complex disaster ,Main nawaz Sharif declared the government corrupt and unpopular while Iltaf Hussain telephonically call for revolution ,both leader have followers who follow them blindly what ever they say, I request their party workers and companions to stop their leader to do this because their thoughts can not change government of Pakistan and revolution ,it will change the Map of world were there is no Pakistan, no MQM, no muslin league Nawaz.

I am not a political worker, I am a disaster expert ,I am not an advocate of present government, and I have no affiliation with any political party, but I am Pakistani citizen and it is my moral duty to guide people of Pakistan and leadership about the upcoming threat to Pakistan and my advise is same as an heart specialist advised a heart patient, If Both political leader continue their miss leaded attitude no force can safe Pakistan, your views lead the nation toward this future reality ,First government will lose its grip over the law and order then people will rise against them, flood survivor suffering compel them to commit wide spread migration ,Mass murders happen frequently, Deprived People start killing rich people, villagers start attacking cities, armed forces dis functional against widespread insurgency, War lords govern and control small areas, NGOs UN Agencies leave the country due to lack of security,

USA send force to other countries for maintain law and order but here they can not sent their forces because civil insurgency can not be control by any force or army and usa army is well aware of these fact, so no one in the world will come forward to save Pakistan even our enemy India can not inter forces in these condition. This is a picture of Complex disaster.

I appeal Nawaz Sharif and Iltaf Hussain to change their timing for political actions and consult with disaster expert about my Technical advice because complex disaster is internationally renowned theory When any country is passing through national disaster the best political leadership practice is to strengthen and build capacity of government without measuring its popularity even if you have foreign occupied government you will impose limitation on political activities for one year after national disaster, postpone election if planned, and postpone change of government for six month, stop transfers of key government functionary In present situation both leader ideal role to play is to safeguard national interest, they have say in parliament and they can safe Pakistan by correcting present government, NDMA is illegal authority in Pakistan because she do not have constitutional cover, legislate and build legal authority for disaster management for the larger interest of Pakistan, Criticized government over mismanagement, stop and identify corruption of government functionaries I hope both leader will consider my advice and secure interest of Pakistan

Muhammad Qaddafi
Disaster manager
E-mail:[email protected]

Muhammad Qaddafi
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