Contemporary politics of Chinese trade and India.

(Muhammad Saeed, Lahore)

Obama`s recent visit to India was a crucial in vis-à-vis to regional dynamics are changing rapidly, China a regional mastermind is functioning accordingly to her diplomatic strategy to cope up with the circumstances. Obama becomes the first president to visit India twice, as of changing strategic conditions of Chinese due politics in this region. Obama`s three day visit to India was something a thought provoking, is it a time to make bilateral negotiations and trade agreements when Americans need Obama`s intentions more in his office? Somehow no is a straight answer, but India on a track once become a charming star of US policies and get the civil nuclear technology, defense agreement, and trade extensions of 100$ million to 500$ million till 2025. The government of both countries agrees to define a new era, assist India to stand on his feet to bear regional challenges. The Modi`s government came in rein by playing murky tactics of playing with the emotions of Indian nation. A One sided agenda was implemented in every public address, the old one; “Pakistan and we are not equal, Pakistan is pursuing and engaging war in India which is not neglect able and should be answered on borders”. Government of BJP in India is chiefly facing threat from the Chinese ongoing friendship escalation with his beloved neighbor. China an utmost economy in the world state of South Asia played a role of game changer in Asia stigma to destabilize hegemonic policies, and to make a new paradigm in the shape of CPEC (China-Pak economic corridor). An imminent threat for India is in phases of completion, Indian diplomacy is in chock-full command today to pave a path to sabotage this project. Mighty military of Pakistan is coming back in full blow to overcome the crisis in the state. Pakistan a friend of US in war on terror was sided, and at the end India declared as most reliable partner in the war against terrorism by Obama. US-Pak relations are always seen in ups and downs, but due to the shifting of political as well as military power, it shows a dense anxiety in India and US for modification of their foreign dogma. Obama at present is busy with his internal politics to strengthen his regime. Policy drawbacks are making Obama unfavorably for the next elections as well republicans’ forte their representatives in legislation houses. Pakistani political and military leadership is on one platform to make a favorable ground for Chinese to fully operationalize Gwadar and economic corridor in this regard COAS, Gen. Raheel Sharif`s visit to China in between Obama`s to India, shows that the Chinese are demanding cooperation and showing a desire to lamp up corridor on necessity and immediate basis. The leadership in Pakistan favored China to be their jam-packed partner in trade by viewing the global spectrum of politics. Chinese political leadership signed multibillion dollar agreement in a recent month to continue its support and cooperation with Pakistan at any stake. Involvement of RAW is not deniable now, evidences have shown that Indian investment in militant groups is just to give a loss to Pakistan`s progress. This is the one aspect of the picture, Gwadar is not the only option meant for China for surveillance on India. It is basically for trade that china can capture easily through shortest route from Gwadar to Xinxang a province in China, Beijing has built Hambantota port in Srilanka, Maria Atoll port in Maldives is controlled by Chinese naval forces, Chittagong container port in Bangladesh, Lamu port in Kenya, Al-Ahdab in Iraq, in addition port Sudan and Bagamoyo in Tanzania are likely to be completed in 2017. It is an immense network of ports and sea line communication, which is called a “string of pearls” (pearls=port, string=trade routes) functioning in the Indian Ocean from Middle East to Shanghai to boost Beijing`s trade, and command over routes to set a monopoly on oceanic trade, to protect his nation’s economic downfall in the future. US presence in the Indian Ocean is reducing gradually, but Indian eye, knocking presence is huge in politics of the Indian Ocean, with Chennai port Tamil Nadu, Kollam port Kerala, Vizag seaport Andhra Pradesh, Mundra port Gujrat, Jawaharlal Nehru port trust Navi Mumbai, and she is competing China in this frame. Chinese enemy ship with India is very old since 1962. Trade is huge among both counties, but diplomatic ties between both of them are not as strong as like Pakistan and China. US is also blooming out from Afghanistan, and just wishing to allocate power to India to work over South Asia for US hegemony, but geopolitics of South Asia is changed today, now the strategic situation is not favoring US regime to knack over Asian countries despite of Indian great homework which is little fizzy.

Consequently, it’s a concrete guesstimate that China is going to be designated as the next regulator of the Asian region besides some part parts of the Middle East, by controlling resources, supplies and routes of the Indian Ocean. Chinese presence is not only the sign, but advancement in the region that they had made is the sign of worry for US-India policy formulators to think for a while. It a Chinese visible invasion of Indian Ocean by defeating Indian hegemony which is a gift of India from America. India is correspondingly working progressively to meet this challenge by making Chabahar port in Iran to compete with Pak-China corridor monopoly, but all in vein. Afghanistan`s much dependence on Pakistan in the trade from years, and Chinese trade friends Central Asian republics plus Mongolia and Russia will favor China over India due to Foreign investment of China in Cars’, Mongolia, and Russia in addition Russia. China and Mongolia have same agenda before this globalizing trend of trade, which forced them to open their economies to world countries for survival and to avoid isolation in this world and to become a socialists states.
 

Muhammad Saeed
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