General Raheel Sharif two weeks
back concluded a three days visit to Russia where he had interaction with
highest military leadership and chairman of the Russian parliament. Due to
strategic re-alliances and evolving geo- strategic environment in the region,
relations between the two Cold War rivals are gradually getting warmed up.
Reciprocal visits by the Defence Ministers in November 14 and April this year
have paved the way for strategic dialogue. Russia has lifted ban on sale of arms
to Pakistan and both side have principally agreed to enhance existing economic,
defence and cultural ties. Decision by the Russian political leadership to clear
sale of MI 35 combat helicopters to Pakistan is just a beginning to offering
more high technology defence equipment. Planned visit to Pakistan by the Russian
President Vladimir Putin in 2012 could not materialize due to lack of
significant proposals to be finalized during the visit.
Disintegration of Union of Soviet Socialist Republics in early nineties shifted
the balance of power and emergence of United States led Unipolar world order.
Ever since the world has been in turmoil; 1st Iraq war, incident of 9/11 ,
invasion of Afghanistan, 2nd Iraq war, Libya, Arab Spring and connected
disturbances in Syria, Egypt, Algeria, Bahrain, Yemen and creation of ISIS have
set the entire region in flames. Iran and North Korea's nuclear stand off,
possible US led attacks and growing incapacitation and irrelevancy of UNO as a
peace facilitating and ensuring body left this region to the mercy of the only
superpower . US led NATO forces are now preparing to draw down from Afghanistan.
Of late, shifting of focus by United States to Asia Pacific and its strategic
partnership with India against China , resultant heightening of tension in South
China Sea and perceived increasing influence of China in the Indian Ocean
through the " String of Pearls" has further altered the geo-strategic equation
in the region. China and Pakistan have recently concluded 46 billion US$ China
Pakistan Economic Corridor project which will extend to backyard of Russia. USA
is helping India to become a member of prestigious Nuclear Supplier Group.
While, Russia's immediate concern is the deteriorating situation in Eastern
Ukraine and US led western rhetoric on Russian military support to Ukrainian
rebels. Russia's decision to supply S-300 air defence weapon system to Iran has
created uproar amongst Israel, EU and USA. Israel has even threatened to supply
arms to Ukraine if the deal with Iran is not stopped. In the meanwhile after
gradual economic recovery, Russia has started showing its muscles by reinvesting
in the high- tech defence production like T-50 fifth generation fighter aircraft
and preparing to challenge the US led Unipolar world order.
In this backdrop, Russia is making new alignments and exploring new markets.
India was the biggest importer of defence related equipment from Russia, however
it's focus has now shifted to EU and Israel. Due to increasing gap in the
conventional weapons between the two nuclear armed rivals, Pakistan is eagerly
looking forward to acquire high- tech air defence and anti armour equipment
which the west has been denying to Pakistan on one pretext or the other and
presently her only option is China. Opening up of Russian defence market to
Pakistan is a welcome step and will be major factor in expanding the mutual ties
between the two Cold War era rivals. PCEC could provide possible access to
Russia to Indian Ocean through Gwadar Sea port. Russia is also willing to help
Pakistan getting full member status in Shanghai Cooperation Organization which
can ultimately lead to formation of a potent block in the region mitigating
US-India manoeuvre. Russia can also make huge investments in Pakistan in energy
and infrastructure development sectors. The two sides could benefit from each
other's experience of fighting militancy and exchange training program. On the
softer side, possibility of cultural exchange program can also be explored.
Pakistan supports a multi polar world order for ensuring peace, stability and
balance of power both in the region and across the globe.
USA and west have been denying Pakistan to acquire military hardware even for
defensive purpose. Opening up of Russia is therefore, a welcome step and
Pakistan needs to capitalize on this opportunity by continuous engagement at
diplomatic, political and military levels. Serious and viable agenda points
leading to conclusion of both long and short term contracts need to negotiate at
appropriate levels. Having finalized the workable options on possible areas of
investment by Russian private and public sectors the level of interaction needs
to be enhanced to highest political level paving way for impending visit of
Russian president to Pakistan and possible conclusion of a strategic project on
the lines of CPEC. Simultaneously, efforts to acquire high tech defence
equipment from Russia should continue to be explored. Close interaction and
improved relations between Russia and Pakistan are not only mutually beneficial
but will also help in ensuring peace in the region. (ENDS)
(The author is defence analyst based in Islamabad)