Rapidly Transforming Belarus-Pakistan Relations

(Amna Malik, Islamabad)

‘from military cooperation to trade partnerships’

The steadily growing diplomatic relations between Pakistan and Belarus started since 7th International Exhibition of Arms and Military Machinery (MILEX- July 2014), held in Minsk, Belarus, representatives of both states were agree on military cooperation and trade of defense production and some days later, when Belarus announced to open its first diplomatic mission in Islamabad in September 2014, I was observing both nations would likely persuade to transform their rapidly growing interest on military cooperation into broader bilateral trade and economically beneficial relations.

On 28th May, 2015, President of Belarus, Alexander Lukashenka during his meeting with his Pakistani counterpart President Mamnoon Hussein, make known that Belarus and Pakistan should work hard to improve economic relations. At this time, I am thinking, my observation was right and both nations have rather chosen right dimension to transform each other economically beneficial gains. Before Lukashenko’s visit to Pakistan, tremendous efforts have already been made by newly appointed Ambassador of Belarus to Pakistan, Andrei Ermolovich who had been attending meetings with Pakistani business delegations representing different industries and during his visit to Islamabad Chamber of Commerce and Industry on November 24, 2014, he said, “Belarus is one of the most industrialized countries, located in the heart of Europe and by promoting trade with it, Pakistan could have better access to the region”. This time Belarusian President is delivering the same significance; promotion of bilateral trade and economic relations alongside strong military cooperation.

Historically, foreign relations and trade between the potential states have been very limited, and exports to Belarus’s market are confined to very identifiable items likewise pharmaceutical and textile products. And in the same way, the exports of Belarus to Pakistan were confined to mainly tractors, their tyres & spare parts. As for instance, current volume of trade between two countries is USD 60 million.

One year ago, when Pakistan’s Defence Minister, Rana Tanveer met with senior Belarusian military official to explore areas for military cooperation, some news were on air that strategic cooperation would again be confined to the development for the trade on defence products. Belarusian Minister of Defence Yuri Zhdobin has also participated in the 8th International Defence Exhibition and Seminar (IDEAS-2014), held in Karachi (Pakistan). On Belarusian side, this is the utmost proffer from Pakistan because comparatively, Pakistani defence production industry is well sufficient to make a balance of Belarusian defence position in many areas; as of course Pakistani ace JF-17 aircraft (developed with Chinese cooperation) is the most lucrative item to discuss in any deal. Admittedly, Belarusian defence industry is large bearing in mind the size of the country, has undergone significantly after the collapse of former Soviet Union as demand for military products demurred across the former Soviet space. Belarus shares close ties with Russia and its defence industry mainly depends upon limited contract with Russia. Lukashenko’s government has since long been looking forward to develop its military sector but due its close ties with Russia and authoritarian rule of Lukashenko, there remained pressure from European Union and United Nations to install any military cooperation projects within Belarus or with any other state. Recently, United Nations and European Unions have approved Belarus, in part for its fulfilment to do business with repressive regimes and pariah states.

On the other hand, Pakistan due to its sufficiency in various defence sectors definitely wants to entrench military cooperation but alongside beneficial economic gains, direct and indirect benefits to various other potential industrial sectors by enhancing bilateral agreements. President Mamnoon Hussain during his meeting with President Lukashenko desired to build a broad based, substantive and long-term relationship with Belarus in all fields including trade, economic, education, defence, and culture.

This is even essential and the most appropriate strategy adopted by the Pakistani government this time. Credit goes to Belarusian government as well to turn their interest for military cooperation into bilateral trade and economic relations and offering Pakistan an easy access to European market and their willingness to sign Memorandum of Understandings (MoU), and bilateral accords.

Soon or later, both nations have determined the right coerce, however, they still need to work hard, share experiences, avail information. Some steps have already been taken in this regard as during Lukashenko’s visit to Pakistan at 29th May 2014, 15 accords including 5 MoUs have been signed to boost up cooperation in the field of trade, defence, education, technology and culture. Besides, some further following steps may also be beneficial to make trade cooperation faster.

A customs union agreement which Belarus has signed with Russia and Kazakhstan, Pakistani exporters can use to get free trade access to these countries by advancing exports to Belarus.

Pakistan has specialized in textile industry and now enjoying GPS-Plus status with European Union, Belarus is situated in the heart of Europe, by enhancing exports to Belarus, Pakistani exporters can avail easy transit access to the Eastern Europe and Scandinavian markets. By establishing planned railway line between Pakistan and Turkey, trade to Eastern European and Scandinavian countries will also increase.

Direct one to one contact should be enhanced through exchange of business delegations so that investors can explore markets. More and more meetings of Joint Economic Commission should be held so that representatives of both the countries may improve economic partnership.

Pakistan is a lucrative market for steel industry and Belarus should share its experience in steel industry by setting up a steel plant which may prove a greater return for Belarusian.

People to people contact can also be improved by cultural and educational exchange policy. The links between universities, art and technical institutions should be developed. In this regard, more and more students and artists should be offered scholarships.

Above all, the time and space has provided both the potential states with an opportunity to establish deeper relations. Hopefully, both nations will experience a broader defence partnership as demand is effective. However, in order to grasp this opportunity with both hands for a rapid growth of cooperation in other potential sectors, the suggested measures should also be taken into consideration. (ENDS)

Amna Malik
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