Syrian Crisis:An Uncertain Journey

(Amjad Iqbal, )

Ongoing crisis in Syria is not something that started out from nowhere but its roots actually goes decades back before the uprisings and street protests all over the country started in march 2011. A Syrian professor calls it second round of civil war in Syrian history.The Syrian borders were first imposed by European colonialists, forcing together different groups, after the fall of Ottoman Empire post WW1. The region was quite divided ethnically as well religiously and the French imperialists took this as an opportunity to ally with the certain minority and Christian groups to cement their authority over the region.

When the French imperialists finally left, few years later in 1970, Hafiz ulAsad, father of present Syrian President, Bashar ulAsad, came into power. Then, majority in the government included Alawite Shia muslims, which was actually a minority religious group in comparison to Sunni muslims who comprised major portion of Syria but they were long deprived from any key positions in the Government. Long being called as heretics by Sunnis, Alawite always kept Sunnis out political regime, in fear of being persecuted if they come into power. Persistantlybeing denied a due share of power in the country, Sunni majority started raising their voice against the government in 1976 which led to a civil war in the country, which was then called The First round of Civil War. Hafiz ulAsad when saw the conflict growing bigger, particularly in one of a Sunni majority populated city of Hama, he nearly levelled the whole city, killing thousands of civilians. Hafiz ulAsad concluded from his experience that “mass voilance is a smart response to an unrest” a lesson which his son, who came to power in 2000 applied in march 2011 when few peaceful protestors took off to the streets to raise their voice against the poor governance of a regime. The police started crackdown on the peaceful protestors killing four men, applying a lesson Bashar ulAsad learned from his father i-e Kill first and ask questions later. But it was a wrong conclusion to make, as root causesof Syrian strife are still as such i-e authoritarianism and unequal balance of power wherein a minority based regime allied with other minority groups together with few privileged people from majority population, rules over poor people who if raisevoice against the regime for the injustices,would be shut down permanently. As the protests grew bigger across the country, opposition now wanted Asad to step down from his office, but Bashar ulAsad dealt with the protestorsthe only way he knew, which is to kill as many as the number grows. Mr President always wanted to turn this peaceful protests into an armed conflict as he knew, if this issue has to be solved politically, where numbers matter, then opposition has the numbers, having 2/3 of the country’s support, and ultimately Asad will have to step down. So Asaddecided to keep the protests violent and let the country get into a civil war. Oppositions groups along with other rebel groups including defectors from the government forces started fight against the Asad’s military. This led an opportunity to other extremists groups like Islamic state and JabhatulNusra(initially part of IS) to reach Syria and fight the government forces, to their ultimate cause of establishing a caliphate “The Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL)”. Regional players like Saudi Arabia in particular who always wants its supremacy in the middle east, started supporting the rebel groups along with its ally Qatar, to topple Asad’s regime. But Iran who sees Syria as a medium of supplying arms to Hebullah in Lebanon and Hamas in Gaza, wants to see Asad in office as their only ally in the region and started supporting Syrian government. US although kept saying Asad should leave after a mass protests started against him, doesn’t provide any military support to the rebel groups fearing ISIL or JabhatulNusra get maximum benefit if Asad isoustered from is office. Russia recently has vowed to offer his complete military support to Asad to keep him in office, being old allies of cold war era. Russia fears such a political revolution may expand in the region and will ultimately threatened Russia so it will go to support the Asad’s regime to any level.

While different international players are putting in their shares as per indivisual interests of each one out of them, the only sufferers are the people of Syria. May it be Syria’s own government forces, the ISIL and other rebel groups or the Russian air strikes,no body is pushed about the massive killings of people meanwhile. About 2,50,000 people have been killed so far, and about 11 millions have been displaced including 4 millions those displaced to neighbouring countries. People are fleeing out of the war torned country, trying to seek refuge in any country they are safe at. They are heading an uncertain journey, which is quite fatal and often unsafe for children, as was in tragic case of AylanKurdi whose washed body was found at Turkish shore. People of Syria, although having left with very little hope, are moving towards Europe to find a better future for their children.

Amjad Iqbal
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