Saudi Arabia's oil exports climbed in September, and the country is pumping its way into a major crisis

(Mian Khalid Jamil, Lahore)

Saudi Arabian oil production climbed in September according to data from JODI, showing that the world's biggest oil producer sent 7.11 million barrels of oil abroad per day.

There's no sign the country is making any effort to slow down its production, even as oil prices slide.

A barrel of Brent crude oil is hovering around $44, down from over $110 a year and a half ago. That's part of a deliberate strategy by the main exporters, which are aiming to protect their market share and damage the previously booming US oil industry.

But there are serious worries that Saudi Arabia's strategy is storing up problems for the future.

At a Reuters conference on Tuesday, hedge fund founder Stephen Jen voiced concerns about the country's ability to rebalance to the reality of the new oil price. He said: "For Russia, in the short term the most efficient way (to adjust) was to devalue the rouble. Go to Saudi Arabia, same shock but with a pegged currency, it can't devalue."

Participants also said the country might be facing a fiscal crisis in three to five years.

The International Monetary Fund named Saudi Arabia among the countries that have around five years' worth of fiscal buffers left should oil prices remain near their current lows.

There are also serious concerns about the country's internal stability. Analysts at RBC Capital Markets referred to Saudi Arabia's "game of thrones" in a note in late October, drawing attention to the rise of Deputy Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman and the discontent that has caused among other members of the royal family.

There's a limit — both political and economic — to how long Saudi Arabia can keep doing this. Its aim is to clamp down on non-OPEC producers, and the longer it does that for, the closer toward danger it is straying.
(special thanks to Mr.
Mike Bird for this information)

Mian Khalid Jamil {Official}
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