Global economic crisis
(nubeed sohail, Islamabad)
The Global Economic Crisis has
proved to be a source of both threats and opportunities for Pakistan for shaping
policies on FDI. Among the up-coming threats looming for the years ahead, one
can mention the risk of shifting efforts away from achieving a pro-investment
and pro-business environment and the emergence of protectionist tensions. The
crisis, however, also opens a chance to implement efficient global policy
responses to enhance the stability of the financial system and excite economic
growth. This requires action at a coordinated and planned level both by the
Federal and provincial governments (post 18th amendment scenario) to rebuild
financial multilateralism, foster the stability and equity of the domestic
financial system encourage stronger lucidity or disclosure standards, to help
the economy to secure the debt of its corporations, and to reassess the
importance of public policies and regulations.
In addition, at the country level, measures specifically aimed at motivating
investment could also be more extensively implemented. Investment promotion
agencies could also play a key role in fostering after-care policies aimed at
retaining existing activities.
The ongoing crisis opened at one side a period of major uncertainty for
developing economies like Pakistan while on the other side a new phase of
economic resilience amid crucial financial crisis. For effectively dealing with
the crisis and its economic aftermath, it is important that policymakers
maintain an overall favorable business and investment climate (including for FDI)
and refrain from protectionist tendencies.
Pakistan is confronted with a number of challenges that comes from both the
domestic environment as well as the negative outlook of the international
economy. Having successfully stabilized the economy, reinforced its reserve
situation, shortened fiscal and current account deficits and managed a drop in
inflationary pressure, the government can now focus on improving the economic
activity and providing expansion impetus. In order to face such challenges in
future and achieve an increase in production and the desired level of growth,
efforts must be concentrated on increasing capacity of industry, and removing
inefficiencies by allowing productive sectors to function at optimal levels.
While the targets set by fiscal and monetary policies are a significantly step
towards this, implementation and coordination going forward will be key factors.
The future of workers’ remittances is vague, given the fact that employment in
host countries is limited. It is very important that fiscal, monetary, and
external debt policies work intandem to protect the sectors exposed to the
international crisis, while striving to re-establish domestic economic growth.