" US vs. Russia: The Only Way To Avoid World War 3 ? "
(Mian Khalid Jamil, Lahore)
= Taking an aggressive stance
could lead to World War 3
= There would be ‘no ideal outcome’ for the U.S.
The Syrian civil war that was initially aimed at kicking President Bashar Al-Assad
out of power has now turned into a proxy war between the United States and
Russia. The U.S. has trained rebel groups, armed them and funded them to bring
down Assad. But Russia has jumped into the fray to protect the Assad regime.
Though Moscow claims that it is targeting ISIS militants in Syria, it has also
admitted that it has been bombing the CIA-backed rebels.
(1) With Russian and the U.S. warplanes flying all over Syria, military experts
have warned that an unintended conflict could trigger World War 3. A few days
ago, an American F-16 fighter came within 20 miles of a Russian Sukhoi-34. On
Tuesday, CBS ’60 Minutes’ reporter Steve Kroft challenged President Barack
Obama’s strategies in Syria. Kroft also accused Obama of “embarrassing” failures
and a lack of leadership.
Steve Kroft is not the only one who has urged Obama to take a tougher stance
against Russia. Many in Washington argue that Vladimir Putin’s actions in Syria
threaten American “credibility” and its deterrence posture against Russia. But
supplying more weapons to rebels, stepping up the U.S. military presence, or
arming Ukraine against Russian-backed separatists would only make things worse,
says Reuters’ The Great Debate Columnist Josh Cohen.
It may force Russia to respond by striking NATO members in Eastern Europe. So,
an aggressive posture would be an option only if Obama is hell bent to trigger
World War 3. Cohen says the U.S. needs to respond cautiously, and realize that
Russia is nowhere as strong as the Soviet Union was. The only way to end the
Syrian proxy war and avoid World War 3 is a political agreement, says Cohen.
(2) Obama should make sure that the Pentagon continues its attempt to
“de-escalate” the U.S. and Russian air operations in Syria. It would help avoid
an accidental clash that could lead to a major conflict with unpredictable
consequences. Meanwhile, the White House should use its P5+1 strategy that it
used to negotiate a nuclear deal with Iran.
This strategy would ensure that interests of all stakeholders in Syria are taken
into account. And the U.S. will have to stop demanding Assad’s ousting as a
pre-condition for the talks. Cohen believes it is a price worth paying if it
could end the slaughter in Syria and save the lives of hundreds of thousands of
innocents. All stakeholders in Syria face a common fear of the Islamic State,
which should be a good starting point for P5+1 Syrian talks.
Cohen believes that there is “no ideal outcome” for the U.S. in the Syrian proxy
war. But Obama can prevent a World War 3 by taking this approach.