Next Big Future: China, Pakistan, India in a naval and nuclear arms race
(Mian Khalid Jamil, Lahore)
According to Foriegn media
analysts :
'Pakistan has finalized its long-negotiated submarine deal with China, with four
to be built in China and four in Pakistan. Analysts believe the submarines will
go a long way toward maintaining a credible conventional deterrent against
India, and also largely secure the sea-based arm of Pakistan's nuclear triad.
'India is making a nuclear strategic triad capability. India’s first ballistic
nuclear submarine (SSBN), the INS Arihant, has been moved out of harbor for sea
trials. The Defense Research and Development Organization (DRDO) recently tested
a 3,000 km range submarine launched ballistic missile (SLBM) named K-4, from a
pontoon submerged 30 feet deep, off the coast of Visakhapatnam located on the
eastern coast.
'China completed a credible nuclear triad in 2014 and China is extending its
global reach'
A nuclear triad refers to the nuclear weapons delivery of a strategic nuclear
arsenal which consists of three components, traditionally strategic bombers,
intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), and submarine-launched ballistic
missiles (SLBMs).
' Construction of the Pakistan submarines could begin as early as mid-2016 '
These submarines have been linked by analysts to securing the sea-based arm of
Pakistan's nuclear triad. However, according to recent Chinese media reports,
Pakistan's access to the military grade Chinese Beidou-II (BDS-2) satellite
navigation network is perhaps of equal importance.
'Pakistan has had its land based nuclear missiles. Pakistan has some older
dangerious bombers and is looking to acquire improved fighter bombers from China
and Russia.
'There is a Carnegie Endowment for Peace report on Nuclear Dynamics in the
Indian Ocean'
* India’s pursuit of a sea-based nuclear strike force is the next logical step
in its quest for an assured retaliatory capability.
* Pakistan’s naval nuclear ambitions are fueled primarily by the sense of a
growing conventional, rather than strategic, imbalance between New Delhi and
Islamabad.
* By dispersing low-yield nuclear weapons across a variety of naval platforms,
Islamabad aims to acquire escalation dominance and greater strategic depth and
to reduce the incentives for a preemptive strike on its nuclear assets.