Poverty Reduction Strategy of Pakistan
(Zaheer Ud Din Qureshi, Muzzaffarabad)
Poverty is a very serious
global malaise affecting humanity. About half of the total population of the
world is living on less than 2.5 dollar a day . Recognizing the importance of
poverty reduction for mankind the United Nations Organization has included
poverty reduction in the Millennium Development Goals. The first Millennium
Development Goal envisages reducing the extreme poverty by a half up to the year
2015 . Other goals like promotion of education and eradication of disease etc
also supplement the efforts to reduce poverty as education and health are potent
means to eradicate poverty and empower the poor. In order to realize the goal
the world body encourages the member countries to formulate their individual
poverty reduction strategies.
Pakistan is a very poor member of the international community with 1049 dollars
per capita income (IMF). About 51 % of 175.57 million population of the country
lives below poverty line, less than two dollar a day . The country has, with the
help of International Monetary Fund chalked out its national poverty reduction
strategies enshrined in Interim Poverty Reduction Papers (2001-2003), Poverty
Reduction Strategy Papers-1(2004-2006) and PRSP- 2 (2008-2010). Underlying
approach in all the strategies is the neo-classical theory of reducing poverty
through economic growth and its trickle down to the poor. Main pillars of the
strategy are engendering and accelerating economic growth while maintaining
macroeconomic stability, improving governance, investment in human capital and
targeting the most vulnerable to reduce their vulnerability. To address common
criticism against the neo-classical theories of trickle down the strategy
provides for a robust program of direct cash grants. Funds worth billions of
rupees are allocated for programs like Benazir Income Support Program , Pakistan
Poverty Alleviation Fund, Zakat Fund and Pakistan Bait-ul -Maal to provide
support to the poorest of poor. The strategy is comprehensive and in essence is
similar to the strategies of countries which are successful in alleviating
poverty.
But despite lapse of almost ten years, after the I-PRSP, the poverty in Pakistan
is increasing. Three strategies the country has implemented so far have failed
to achieve desired results. The number of poor below poverty line in 2000-2001
was 32.1 % (PRSP_1) which has risen to 51 %. Independent analysts and
international institutions like the World Bank doubt the figures claimed by the
government. Success achieved in early years of the strategy (2001-2006) is
attributed to external factors as increased foreign remittances due to 9/11 and
increased foreign aid due to war on terrorism. Critics believe that PRSP,s do
not reflect plans to address the malaise of poverty but only have a showcase
value to attract more funds from donors. PRSP, s based on trickle down policies
have only increased inequalities which already are of extreme nature . The
failure of poverty reduction mechanism is further accentuated by the fact that
in Pakistan there is a robust formal and informal philanthropic system which
also supplements the poverty reduction efforts by the state.
The key factors resulting in this failure has been lack of political will to
implement professed policies. Governments have not only failed to exercise
required financial discipline but also have failed to take bold policy measures
to tap new resources. Unwillingness to tackle touchy economic issues has
resulted in non-confidence of international financial institutions in Pakistani
government. Successive IMF programs have been abolished due to this reason.
Ratings by international institutions have direct bearing on foreign direct
investment which has come to lowest level. Tax to GDP ratio in Pakistan is very
low. According to Chairman Federal Board of Revenue, Ali Arshad Hakeem Pakistan
has one of the lowest taxes to GDP ratios in the world as only 0.9 per cent of
the population of the country pays income tax . International community has time
and again pointed out towards this weakness. Voices to link international aid to
Pakistan with domestic tax to GDP ratio are getting louder day by day. Budget
deficit, unemployment and inflation are high. Successive governments have
blatantly failed to provide enabling environment for economic development
through provision of good governance. Pakistan’s performance on all the
governance indicators developed by the World Bank is dismal. Due to political
interference, nepotism, corruption and low service delivery of governmental
organizations confidence of people in government is very low. According to
Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (2012) Pakistan is one
of the world’s most corrupt countries (ranked 139) .Total loss of revenue due to
corrupt practices is estimated as 3.3 billion US dollars. According to
Transparency International every household in Pakistan had to pay 10537 rupees
per annum as a bribe in 2010. This means 223 billion rupees were paid by 169.50
million population of Pakistan in bribe. Almost every department of the country
is facing the problem. Corruption has become so common that according to
Professor Qua it has become part of Pakistani culture. Corruption has eroded
almost every institution of the state. No poverty reduction strategy can be
successful in this environment. Any future government will have to show strong
resolve to take tough decisions to impose financial discipline. Comprehensive
structural reforms will have to be taken to revive governmental institutions.
Good governance is prerequisite for any poverty reduction strategy to succeed.