Sugarcane production & sugar crisis

(Sohail Akhter and Dr.Farooq Ahmad khan, Faisalabad)

Sugarcane is an important cash crop of Pakistan. It is an important source of income and employment for the farming community throughout the year. It forms the basis for many important industries like Gur, molasses, alcohol, sugar beverages, chipboard, paper, confectionery and provides raw materials to mainly other industries such as chemicals, plastics, paints, synthetics, fiber, insecticides, detergents etc.

Among the 105 countries of the world growing sugarcane, Pakistan ranks 4th in area, 14th in production and 16th in yield. Although, Pakistan happens to be the world's fourth largest grower of sugarcane it has perhaps the lowest yield in the world. The average sugarcane yields in Pakistan have remained between 40-54tons per hectare which is considerably less than those obtained in many other countries. Average yield of sugarcane in the world is around: 65 metric tons per hectare and Asia 65.4 while China 77.1, India 70.6, Pakistan 46.0, Philippines 92.6, Thailand 92.6, Australia 75.5 and Egypt 105 tons per hectare. The sugar recovery is 8.5 % against the obtainable recovery of 10.5%. Pakistan has all the resources to produce high yield of sugarcane, yet it could neither produce sugar for export in the international market on a competitive rate nor could it get rid of import to meet the local demand.

Sugarcane production:
Sugarcane production in the country has increased over times; however, this increase has mainly resulted from an expansion in area, whereas yields have been increased only very slightly. In 1992-93, the area under sugarcane was 885 thousand ha. This increased to over 907 thousand ha. In 2005-06, and sugarcane production has increased from 38059 thousand in 1992-93 to 48873 thousand tons in 2005-06. It shows that despite expansion in production over years, increase in the productivity per unit area has been very low in Pakistan.

The contribution of the Punjab in the total cane production is around 60 percent, Sindh about 30 percent and NWFP 10 percent. There are 85 sugar mills in Pakistan, numbering 45 in Punjab, 34 in Sindh and 9 in kpk. The total area of sugarcane (000ha.) is 625, 183, 98 and 0.30 hectares in Punjab, Sindh, NWFP and Balochistan with production (000 tons) of 28968, 11243, 4439 and 14, respectively. Thus the yield in tons per hectare is 46, 61, 45, 48 in the provinces.

The Punjab produces 61, Sindh 29, NWFP 10 percents of sugar. In the Punjab and NWFP about 90 percent of the crop is planted in spring and only about 10% in the autumn while in Sindh 70% is planted in autumn and about 30% in spring. In the Punjab and NWFP the growing period is only 8-10 months while in Sindh it goes from 12 to 14 months. The harvesting of the crop starts in the beginning of November in the Punjab and NWFP while in Sindh the crop is ready in the month of October. In Sindh due to long growing period, the yield and recovery is better than in the Punjab and NWFP. Sugarcane is a high delta crop and requires 64to 66 acre inches of water in Sindh and about 64 acre inches water in the Punjab. Water is considered to be one of the crucial factors affecting the production and productivity of sugar crop in the country.

Sugar recovery
The average sugar recovery of Pakistan ranges between 8 to 9% as compared to developed and neighboring countries where average recovery rate is over 10%. The recovery data of last fifteen years shows that there is minute improvement in recovery rate. In 1990-91 it was round 8.44% and in the year 2004-05 it was about 9.1%, whereas in between these years the rate was continuously fluctuating. Sindh has average recovery of 9.42% as compared to Punjab and NWFP at 8.26 and 8.34%, respectively. The controllable factors for high recovery include area under cultivation, production methods, farm inputs sowing high yielding varieties.

Sugar Consumption
Sugar consumption in Pakistan has been showing an increasing trend for the last 15 years. It has increased from 2.89 million tons in 1995-96 to 3.95 million tons in 2005-06. One of the many reasons behind this increase is rise in the total population of the country, which has reached to a figure of 170 millions. The per capita sugar consumption data shows that it has also risen from 22.2 kg in 1995 to 25.8 kg in 2004-05. For 2006-07, the overall sugar consumption is forecast at 4 million tons.

Pakistanis is the biggest consumers of sugar in South Asia with 24 kg per capita consumption per year, whereas in India it is 14 kg, Bangladesh 10 kg and China 11 kg.

Performance of Sugar Industry: Performance of sugar industry in terms of profitability was remarkable during 2004-05.
Current sugar Crisis: The current level of sugar prices in the country has not only affected the common person but also forced the Government to revise the progress of sugar industry to control the price hikes. It increased in October 2004 from 20.78 to Rs.42 in February 2006 and badly affected the life of common man. Current sugar shortage is being met by the import of sugar from outside the country, which comes to Rs.26 presently. Pakistan despite an agrarian country is not self sufficient in sugar production for the domestic requirement

Causative Factors:
Demand supply gap, increase in population, increase in per capita consumption, low sugarcane and sugar production, high sugar prices in the international markets.

Sugar Industry
Sugar industry in Pakistan with a strong production base with 85 mills having an installed production capacity of 4.867 million tons has always been suffered of capacity utilization. These mills require about 65 million tons of sugarcane to run on full capacity. The sugar production capacity of these mills is above five million tons of sugar. However, sugar production is about only three million tons on an average. Thus growing sugarcane production presents a challenge. It takes about 4-5 days after the harvesting of sugarcane crop to off-load the trolleys at mill gate. This leads not only to reduction in weight by about 2% but also affects recovery of sugar by 0.1% each day. Pakistan also loses about 5% of the sugar in producing bold crystal sugar to meet the consumer demand. Mill inefficiency in juice extraction is also one reason for low sugar production. Juice extraction efficiency of the current mill stands around 90-92% instead of 98%. Cane with thrash as also affects the mill efficiency.

General Conclusion
In Pakistan about 90% of the sugar is extracted from sugarcane&10% from sugar beet in favorable years there is more sugar production than the requirements and in adverse years the country falls short resulting in imports. It has been reported that there has been no fruitful improvement in the country's economy during the last 15 years for the simple reason that the people concerned traders, industrialists and other organizations were not taken into confidence, while formulating policies. The global situation of agricultural products is declining due to urbanization, increase in population and unfortunate natural calamities. Due to probable scarcity of food supply, it is feared that in the coming days, the situation may further go down and naturally it will completely affect the foreign exchange reserves of the country in the long run.

One of the serious problems faced by Pakistan is low yield of sugarcane and other crops. Various reasons for this poor output are: exceptionally large or economically unviable small land holdings poor availability of certified quality seeds, inadequate supply of fertilizer, agricultural implements and irrigation water. It is also difficult for farmers to acquire credit as bulk of the funds is extended to big landlords.

Sohail Akhter and Dr.Farooq Ahmad khan
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